The Closer the Election, the Worse Democrats Look
Aug 16th, 2010 by David Anderson
Republicans are up 12 points in the Rasmussen generic ballot. Democrats are down to 36%. Over confidence could still trip Republicans up, particularly if they decide they do not need a plan this fall. Still, I am feeling pretty good about November.
They already have a plan; repudiation.
Polls show several facts; a majority of voters are against Obamacare, against the Dems’ immigration/border security positions, against the mosque, against Obamanomics, against the ever-expanding deficits, against bailouts and the nationalization of the auto industry….
This election is about repudiation- there’s no need to muddy the waters with specifics. Just attach Socialist-Democrat candidates at the hip to Obama’s radical agenda.
Polls show several entrenched Democrats to be in trouble- Boxer, Feinstein and Reid, among others. All this without a clearly-articulated national Republican platform. Keep it that way- run against Obama.
Keep it simple, stupid!
As a follow-up to Rick’s comment, I mention that Urquhart has a great commercial solidly fashioning his candidacy against Obama.
GREAT MOVE!
The pubs should throw Obamer under the train in every campaign commercial cause the country don’t like this guy, this is a fact.
God knows Obamer throws everyone else under the train.
Urquhart has a great commercial solidly fashioning his candidacy against Obama.
Obama has a 62% approval rating in Delaware.
Just saying.
If I was Urquhart I’d be destroying Pelosi with my commercials. Congress’ ratings are terrible and she’s not popular by any stretch. Personally I think she’s a disgrace, but that applies to a lot of people in congress on both sides.
The Rasmussen numbers are impressive, though they are hard to translate into specific gains in the House. We Republicans have to remember that unlike in 1994, we’re still swimming upstream in a number of ways.
We are lagging badly on fundraising, partly due to the poor economy, partly due to Pete Session, John Cornyn and Michael Steele badly underperforming in this area.
There are not nearly as many open seats this year on the Democratic side as there were in 1994. Many people are willing to “throw the bums out,” so long as its not their bum.
It’s only been four years since Republicans controlled Congress, not forty. So people can still remember what it was like. Whether those memories are real, or based on media lies, they still remain and they will not work in our favor.
Many Democrats now understand the Republicans can win, something they did not believe in 1994. And they will fight to the last man, woman and dollar this time.
Locally, while his approval rating is down in Delaware, its still far higher than it is nationally. Rasmussen’s last poll of Delaware shows Obama at 55%, well above the 44% number he posts nationally. With Gov. Markell well insulated from media criticism by the News Journal, his job approval is at 65%. That means Republicans downstream of Castle are still rowing against the current here and chances of regaining control of the state House are slim.
Still, I’d rather be at a Republican party than a Democratic one on election night. But my expectations will be appropriately tempered.
Obama has a 62% approval rating in Delaware.
Just saying
True- but, not in Kent and Sussex- with a large turnout south of the canal, Urquhart will win. I think he will.
Repudiation!
From the Orlando Sentinal;
Republican Marco Rubio has nudged ahead of independent Charlie Crist in Florida’s nationally watched U.S. Senate race in a hypothetical three-way matchup with Democrat Kendrick Meek, according to a Mason-Dixon poll released Saturday.
‘Nudged.’ Moving from behind to 6 points ahead is not a ‘nudge,’ it is a surge.
Rubio led Crist in the poll 38 percent to 33 percent, with 18 percent for Meek and 11 percent undecided.
Rubio and Crist are running neck and neck, however, if billionaire businessman Jeff Greene becomes the Democratic nominee, the poll found. In that hypothetical matchup, Crist got 39 percent of those polled, Rubio 38 percent and Greene 12 percent.
Of course, this is a false hope- Greene will not be the candidate- Meek will be.
The statewide poll of 625 registered voters indicates that Rubio, a conservative Cuban-American from Miami, has gained strength over the past three months. And Meek has opened up a double-digit lead over Greene in the fiercely contested Democratic primary.
The poll found that Meek…led Greene among Democratic voters 40 percent to 26 percent, a 14-point margin…
Sorry Charlie
Some new Rasmussen polls (* = incumbent);
OH- Portman (R) 45%…Fisher (D) 37%
NH- Ayotte (R) 51%…Hodes (D) 38%
WI- Johnson (R) 47%…Feingold* (D) 46%
NV- Angle (R) 47%…Reid* (D) 47%
WA- Rossi (R) 47%…Murray* (D) 49%
KY- Paul (R) 49%…Conway (D) 40%
CN- McMahon (R) 40%…Blumenthal (D) 47%
CO- Buck (R) 46%…Bennett* (D) 41%
AR- Boozman (R) 60%…Lincoln* (D) 35%
IL- Kirk (R) 40%…Giannoulias (D) 40%
MO- Blount (R) 50%…Carahan* (D) 43%
IN-Coats (R), KS-Moran (R) and NY-Schumer* (D) are runaways.
No recent CA Rasmussen, but cumulative poll average is Boxer +3.5%..Boxer’s lead is steadily shrinking.
In CN, Blumenthal’s lead has fallen from 56-33. McMahon’s money could matter because of expensive NYC airtime (necessary to reach CN’s S.W. population centers).
Obviously, Lincoln is gone, and probably Carnahan, too.
Despite hysterical ‘mainstream’ media attacks, Paul looks ok in KY.
I thought CO Dems ‘wanted’ Buck as an opponent? Really?
Reid and Feingold are in battles.
Of course, polls don’t measure turnout- Republicans are anti-Obama energized!
The Rasmussen numbers are impressive, though they are hard to translate into specific gains in the House.
Today’s new ‘Cook Report,’ from well-respected and unbiased Charle Cook, shows Republicans gaining 35-45 seats in the House. And he added that it could get worse- for Dems.