Donald J Trump and Bernie Sanders dominated NH as expected.What is interesting is that the absurd press bashing of Rubio had an effect reversing his momentum but it did not do permanent damage. Bush and Kasich would have joined Christie in being out. Now we have Cruz in third, Kasich who is one of the best governors in America, reinvigorated with a solid second place finish, Bush limping forward and Rubio reeling but moving forward tied with Bush. For the first time in NH history 5 candidates beat the 10% mark so far. If Rubio does finish 400 to 1000 votes behind Bush–he is a few hundred behind now, that makes no difference in electoral reality and a little more he beats Cruz. They get the same delegates. It does make a difference in political reality. It freezes the race. A host of Bush backers had pledged to move to Rubio if he finished ahead of Bush. Now they will freeze until something definitive happens. The not Trump vote was 66%. This outcome strengthens Mr. Trump. Out of Iowa and New Hampshire are 5 strong candidates not 3 as it was shaping up. The race just got a whole lot more interesting. Cruz has a strong ground game in South Carolina.
Mr. Trump had a solid victory speech. Senator Sanders not so much. Secretary Clinton raised the stakes for both Nevada and South Carolina. She must have confidence in her caucus operation in Nevada where she was slaughtered 8 years ago. Sanders should focus there next.
As for the Democratic side, Clinton getting the letter that the FBI is officially investigating her server a day before the primary did not help. She was gong to lose, but she lost by 20 points. She lost 92 to 6 among voters who valued honesty and something like 85 to 11 among voters who looked for someone who cared about them. That seems perceptive. She won something like 7 to 1 among voters who valued electability. Rubio also won electability voters. NH voters valued other factors. That is a mistake they will have to live with. Of course being under a serious criminal investigation is not a resume builder for electability on the Democratic side. I bet people are wishing for Biden. On to Nevada and South Carolina.