Category Archives: International

Debate on Iran Nuclear Deal Intensifies

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

US Ambassador to the United Nations, Samantha Powers, in a recent editorial in Politico has stated that the United States could find itself isolated from the international community if it rejects the proposed Joint Plan of Action (JPOA) with Iran, according to a L’Agence France-Presse (AFP) report.

“If the United States rejects this deal, we would instantly isolate ourselves from countries that spent nearly two years working with American negotiators to hammer out its toughest provisions,” Powers wrote in an opinion posted late Wednesday. “We would go from a situation in which Iran is isolated to one in which the United States is isolated.”, she continued.

According to an article by Deb Reichmann, carried in the Huffington Post, President Obama has adequate authority to lift most sanctions against Iran by executive order, despite a override of his expected veto of Congressional disapproval of the nuclear agreement.

Two US Senators, Bob Menendez (D-NJ) and Mark Kirk ( R-IL), have introduced legislation to renew the Iran Sanctions Act . Currently, 45 Democrat Senators have expressed support for the JPOA and 15 are, as yet, undecided.

Meanwhile, Secure America Now has launched a major ad campaign urging people to contact their US Senators to urge them to reject the deal. http://www.secureamericanow.org/

Iran to Build a Nationwide Nuclear Science and Technology School System

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

The Director of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI), Ali Akbar Salehi, announced last Tuesday that the agency plans to build special nuclear science and technology training schools across Iran.

Speaking at a groundbreaking ceremony of the new Nuclear High School in Mashad, he said, “The country’s second nuclear energy school will be constructed in Mashhad and a memorandum of understanding has also been signed among the AEOI, Khorassan Governor General Razavi ‘s Office and the Khorassan Education Department in this regard.”

The AEOI also has plans to construct a hospital with advanced nuclear medicine diagnostic and treatment facilities in Tehran, according to Salehi.

Iran, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Jordan, Egypt May Discuss Syrian Crisis

Conference Expected to Convene in Moscow Next Week

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

FARS News has reported on Wed Aug 19, 2015 that there is likelihood that a multilateral conference on the Syrian situation will be convened in Moscow next week. Yury Barmin, a political analyst of Russia Direct Research Institute, stated that the concurrence of visits by senior officials from Iran, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Jordan and Egypt has given rise to speculation that they might take part in joint talks on regional crises.

During a face-to-face discussion with Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir in Moscow last week, Russian Foreign Minister,Sergey Lavrov, reiterated that Russia will not accept exclusion of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad from the peace talks, however, he also stated that Russia and Saudi Arabia had “agreed on practical steps to facilitate the political process in Syria.”

The Russian media had reported that Saudi King Salman would travel to Moscow on August 25 and Al-Ahram wrote that Egyptian President, Abdul Fatah al-Sissi, will travel to Russia next Wednesday, August 26.

Further details are available at: http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13940528000406

Iran to Submit Syrian Peace Plan To UN

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

FARS News has reported that Iran will submit a new peace plan to the United Nations in favor of a political settlement in Syria.

Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian said that the plan was drafted after “detailed consultations between Damascus and Tehran” and is an amended version of an Iranian initiative presented last year.

He also was quoted as saying that “The proposal amounts to one of the most effective and serious plans on the agenda of the UN and international players.”

Fallout From Iran Nuclear Deal (2)

A Russian-Iranian Alliance?

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

Recent developments in Russo-Iranian relations have some Western observers increasingly focused.

• On Wednesday August 19, 2015 Russian Deputy Foreign Minister , Mikhail Bogdanov announced that Russia and Iran have finalized an arms agreement over purchase and delivery of four advanced long-range S-300 VM (Antey-2500) mobile surface-to-air anti-ballistic missile systems by the end of 2015. [ This is presumably an Iranian effort to counter anticipated Israeli missile strikes of its nuclear R&D facilities. ]

• In the wake of lifting of UN sanctions as a result of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, this is actually a new revision of an earlier Russian/Iranian contract for deliveries of (now discontinued) S-300 PMU ABM systems, interrupted in 2007 by the UN Arms Embargo.

• Russia and Iran have increased naval cooperation, as evidenced by docking of a Russian navy fleet docked in the northern Iranian facility of Bandar-e Anzali, on the Caspian Sea.

ValueWalk reported yesterday that there are clear indications a newly emerging axis between China, Russia and Pakistan that may also include Iran.

Read the entire article by Polina Tikhonova, as well as related topics at: ValueWalk .

Information, photos and specifications of the S-300 VM ABM system are available at: www.army-technology.com .

German Bundestag Approves Third Bailout of Greece

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

After hard lobbying by Chancellor Angela Merkel and Finance Minister Wolfgang Schauble, the German Bundestag has approved a 3.2 billion Euro ($3.53 billion) bailout of Greece.

Read more at:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-19/germany-set-to-approve-greek-aid-after-merkel-lobbies-lawmakers and

http://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2015/08/19/German-legislature-approves-Greek-bailout/1901439994433/?nll=1

Despite some opposition in the form of opposing votes and abstentions with,in the ruling CPD/CSU party coalition, the measure passed by a wide margin.

Fallout From IRAN Nuclear Deal (1)

IAEA Withholds Information From US Senate and Obama Administration

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

An official spokesman of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI) claims that International Atomic Energy (IAEA) Director, Yukiya Amano, in response to direct Iranian pressure, has withheld secrets of the “Roadmap of Cooperation Between Iran and the IAEA” [an apparent separate agreement with Iran] from the U.S. Congress and Obama Administration.

Behrouz Kamalvandi, speaking in a meeting with Iranian lawmakers in Tehran on Monday August 17 declared that “If secrets of the agreement are revealed, we will lose our trust in the Agency.”, according to the FARS News Agency

The announcement as it stands can have serious implications for US Senate ratification of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action signed in Vienna on 14 July 2015 (commonly known as the Iran Nuclear Deal).

The complete text of the FARS Monday Aug 17, 2015 6:44 posting follows:

___________________________________________________________________________

Spokesman: Grave Consequences Discouraged Amano from Revealing Iran’s Secrets to US Senate

TEHRAN (FNA)- Director-General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Yukiya Amano didn’t disclose secrets of its recent agreement with Iran to the US Congress for the fear of its aftermaths, an Iranian spokesman said Monday.

“In a letter to Yukiya Amano, we underlined that if the secrets of the agreement (roadmap of cooperation between Iran and the IAEA) are revealed, we will lose our trust in the Agency; and despite the US Congress’s pressures, he didn’t give any information to them,” Spokesman of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI) Behrouz Kamalvandi said in a meeting with the Iranian lawmakers in Tehran on Monday.

Kamalvandi said revealing the secrets of the roadmap wouldn’t have been good for him either.In relevant remarks early this month, Iran’s Envoy to the International Atomic Energy Agency Reza Najafi warned the UN nuclear watchdog to avoid disclosing its secret agreements with Tehran.

“The agreements signed between a member country and the IAEA are definitely secret and cannot be presented to any other country at all,” Najafi said.

Referring to the discussions at the US Congress during which the US officials elaborated on the nuclear agreement between Iran and the Group 5+1 (the US, Russia, China, Britain and France plus Germany), he said, “The discussions revealed that the secret texts between Iran and the Agency have not even been provided to the US administration.”

“For the very same reason, they cannot be presented to the Senate members either,” Najafi added.

He also said that Tehran has already warned the IAEA chief against the repercussions of a disclosure of its agreement with the UN nuclear watchdog agency.

“Iran has clarified it to Amano that the text of its understanding with the IAEA cannot be presented to the Senate,” Najafi reiterated.

He further warned that “the Agency knows what it means to disclose a secret document”.

The Iranian envoy also cautioned Amano that he is duty bound now to accept possible invitations of other countries’ legislatures after he accepted to attend a US Senate meeting.

Amano and Head of the AEOI Ali Akbar Salehi signed a roadmap of cooperation in Vienna on July 14.

The roadmap contains secret arrangements stated in one or two documents entailing on the methods to be used by the two sides in their cooperation.

Senior Iranian nuclear officials have said that all IAEA member states have such secret agreements and the UN nuclear watchdog is duty bound to keep them secret to any third party individual or state.

After the roadmap was signed, Salehi announced that the new agreement would fully settle all unresolved issues pertaining to Tehran’s nuclear activities in the past.

“All past issues will be resolved completely after Iran and the Agency adopt some measures,” Salehi told reporters after signing an agreement called the Iran-IAEA Cooperation ‘Roadmap’.

He said that all agreements, including the measures decided for Parchin military site, will be implemented with full respect to Iran’s redlines.

Iran had earlier announced that inspection of the country’s military sites are one of its redlines.

“I hope that a new chapter in relations and cooperation between Iran and the IAEA will start after the settlement of the past issues,” Salehi added.

Salehi made the remarks in Vienna just a short time after diplomats acknowledged a sum-up agreement had been made between world powers and Iran.

___________________________________________________________________________

Source: http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13940526000960

Experts File Amicus Brief in Marshall Islands Nuclear Non-Proliferation Case Against the U.S.

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

On 4/24/2014, the Republic of the Marshall Islands filed an Application Instituting Proceedings Against the United States before the International Court of Justice in the Hauge.

Four recognized American nuclear experts have filed a judicus amicus (“friend of the court”) brief in support of the Marshall Islands effort to compel the United States to meet its requirements under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), ratified by the US Senate in 1970.

Hans Kristensen, Director of the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists; Dr. James Doyle, a nuclear nonproliferation expert fired by the Los Alamos national lab after publishing a study arguing for nuclear weapons abolition; Robert Alvarez, a former Senior Policy Advisor to the Secretary of Energy, now at the Institute for Policy Studies; and Jay Coghlan, director of Nuclear Watch New Mexico are the co-signatories.

The entire Federation of American Scientists media communication is available at:

https://fas.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Amicus-Brief-8.12.pdf

The94-page brief , filed on 8/7/15 before the federal 9th Circuit Court of Appeals by attorney Andrea R. St. Julian, contends that the United States of America has failed to meet its international obligations under the NPT. The original case was initially dismissed in February 2015 after the U.S. government successfully argued in part that enforcement of the NPT’s requirement for nuclear disarmament negotiations was” not in the public interest”.

The actual lawsuit itself does not request compensation. Instead, the Marshall Islands seeks a binding legal requirement that the US will actually begin nuclear disarmament negotiations with other nuclear powers under , the terms of Article VI of the NPT that it signed 45 years ago.

The case may proceed to the US Supreme Court if the appeal is unsuccessful.

The amicus brief is available at: http://nukewatch.org/importantdocs/resources/Dkt-38-AmicusBrief.pdf

Complete 9th Circuit Court proceedings in the Republic of Marshall Islands’ lawsuit are available at https://www.wagingpeace.org/nuclearzero/

The United States conducted extensive high-yeild nuclear weapons testing in the Marshall Islands (assigned to it as UN Trusteeship after WW 2) from 1947- 1962, resulting in displaced persons, contaminated islands and adjacent sea and increased health risks to affected populations – most notably in the Bikini and Enewetok Atolls (Pacific Proving Grounds).

Are Russia and NATO Preparing for WAR?

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

As Russia’s military exercises and maneuvers in the Baltic, Atlantic and Pacific (vis-à-vis NATO nations and other allies) have assumed a more aggressive and less cautious posture over the last two years, legitimate geostrategic questions arise:

1) Is this a classic geopolitical tactic to reassert regional dominance over former Soviet Republics (now independent states in Europe and Asia) and/or implementation a psycho-political control mechanism over the Russian people to minimize domestic dissent through creation of international tensions?

2) Given increasing bipolar force levels in closer proximity and emergent international tensions, can a serious untended conflict arise and get out of control?

3) “Are Russia and NATO actually preparing for war?”

A recent article in the Daily Telegraph suggests the latter, according to a report by the European Leadership Network .

As NATO’s response to Russian military exercises and force deployments (and concomitant international tensions) increase, the probability of a serious confrontation increases as a military incident may suddenly escalate beyond control in a scenario of the largest concentration of forces since the Cold War. The situation is geopolitically and geostrategically complicated by the current situation in the Ukraine, as Russia is steadily mired in para-military operations aiding ethnic Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine and NATO increases its aid to Ukraine (a NATO constituent).

However, the authors caution: “We do not suggest that the leadership of either side has made a decision to go to war or that a military conflict between the two is inevitable, but that the changed profile of exercises is a fact and it does play a role in sustaining the current climate of tensions in Europe.”

The report recommends:

• Increased NATO/Russia communications

• Reduction in size and scope of Russian and NATO exercises; and

• Negotiation of a new Conventional Forces Reduction Treaty for Europe

as a means of reducing international tensions and averting East/West military conflict in Europe

The original report “ Preparing for the Worst: Are Russian and NATO Military Exercises Making War in Europe More Likely?” (as well as related reports and analyses ) is available at :http://www.europeanleadershipnetwork.org/ .

Embassy for Havana Not Jerusalem

In Obamaland, we reach out to our enemies and stiff our friends. Secretary of State John Kerry personally went to Cuba to celebrate raising the flag in over an Embassy in Havana despite Congressional objections to restoring full diplomatic relationships. My personal view is that arguments are valid on both sides of this issue. Isolation has not worked well. Phasing it out has merit. The Cuban government wants it lifted. It does not benefit or hurt us so why not use our leverage to get strategic concessions? One thing that Donald Trump is right about, we do not negotiate well.

Why do we not go for more open communications by dialing back Bejucal? Bejucal is an electronic espionage base used by the Cuban military intelligence designed to intercept, interfere, intrude, and process international communications via communications satellites. Why is that not on the table? Stop the jamming. Get new ideas in Cuba and freedom will follow.

Congress passed a law to open our embassy in the actual capital of Israel. Every other embassy is in the capital of the nation whether we recognize it or not. We instead cater to the Palestinian mantra that Jerusalem will be their capital. Jerusalem has historic ties as the Jewish capital since King David. It has never been the “Palestinian” capital.

This administration doubles down on our worse polices and abandons sensible ones. 17 months won’t come soon enough.

Is Putin in Trouble?

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

Faced with being bogged down in the Donbas, international sanctions, an impending oil and natural gas glut, a receding economy and various internal pressures – all in the context of increasingly blustering rhetoric and daringly provocative military maneuvers; it is logical to ask if he (and by extension, Russia) is in serious trouble. Brian Whitmore (of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty) in a recent article in Business Insider claims that he is.

Historically, a common tactic of those in power, faced with increased domestic problems and emergent dissent and social instability is to create increased international tension as a method of internal control. These may, in turn, lead to serious external repercussions.

• Putin’s recent claim of the North Pole as Russian territory is dubious at best, but makes for international high drama.

• The anticipated Iranian oil glut on the world market after UN sanctions are lifted will adversely affect Russia’s balance of payments and economy.

• Russia’s increasing militarization, aggressive military exercises and expansionist geopolitics (as evidenced by joint naval exercises with Iran) are regionally destabilizing in Europe, the Middle East and Persian Gulf.

• Such arbitrary actions as public destruction of thousands of kilograms of confiscated contraband American and European food stocks (when significant numbers of Russians are at or near starvation levels) further strains domestic relations and creates political turmoil, thereby negating the effects of a massive propaganda campaign.

The entire article can be read at:

http://www.businessinsider.com/putin-is-actually-in-serious-trouble-2015-8 8/13/15 UPDATE: For a detailed discussion on Putin’s decision to aggressively destroy stocks of contra-banned Western food supplies see: STRATFORRussia is Destroying its Food” at: https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/russia-destroying-its-food?utm_source=freelist-f&utm_medium=email&utm_term=article&utm_campaign=20150813&mc_cid=d15af04ad2&mc_eid=5217a3a5e7 This move is even unpopular among many Russian national, regional and local officials as it is destabilizing and politically undermining. The resulting internal tensions may ultimately serve to erode his key support from Russia’s oligarchs.

FAS Issues Report on Implementation of Iran Nuclear Agreement

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

The Nuclear Verification Capabilites Independent Task Force of the Federation of American Scientists has issued a report, “Six Achievable Steps for Implementing an Effective Verification Regime for a Nuclear Agreement with Iran. “ The intent of the FAS analysis is to outline challenges to and offer constructive suggestions for effective implementation of the proposed Iran Nuclear Agreement.

The report emphasizes six feasible steps for executing an effective nuclear nonproliferation verification regime with Iran:

1. Ensure that the Joint Commission Works Effectively Among the P5+1 and Iran to Facilitate Compliance and Communication

2. Organize Executive Branch Mechanisms to Create Synergy and Sustain Focus on Implementation Over the Long-Term

3. Support and Augment the IAEA in the Pursuit of its Key Monitoring Role

4. Create a Joint Executive-Congressional Working Group (JECWG) to Facilitate Coordination Across the Legislative and Executive Branches of the USG

5. Prepare a Strategy and Guidebook for Assessing and Addressing Ambiguities and Potential Noncompliance

6. Exploit New Technologies and Open Source Tools for Monitoring a Nuclear Agreement with Iran

The entire report can be read at:

https://fas.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/Six-Achievable-Steps-for-Implementing-an-Effective-Verification-Regime-for-a-Nuclear-Agreement-with-Iran.pdf

Other reports are available at fas.org .

The Iranian Nuke Deal: Why work so hard to get so little?

New polling shows collapsing support for the Iranian Nuclear deal with the public opposed 2 to 1. Only 27% of the public supports the deal making 3 to 1 a distinct possibility when people focus on it in the fall. This deal is politically toxic, but many Democrats seem intent on not embarrassing the President. I am all for not embarrassing the President for the sake of handing him a defeat when it comes to international issues of importance. Embarrassment is not at play here. The issue is Congress fulfilling their role in protecting the national interest. I wish Democrats would be as intentional about fulfilling their Constitutional responsibility as upholding party image. In the long run, doing the job right builds the image.

The Gulf states were very skeptical of this deal. The administration had ignored their needs. As pressure mounted at home, they realized that they may actually lose 2/3 in both houses if the narrative was that it had no support in the region. They dispatched Kerry to buy support. He has offered, among other things, arms sales, more support against ISIS, and help to replace Assad. He is giving assurances in order to get a statement from the foreign ministers (not the leaders) of support for the deal. It seems weak and lukewarm, but it is what they need to spin to the American press that Israel is alone in opposition. They did not get Egypt to sign on. Jordan does not seem part of this. The leaders are not public in their support. Why not? They think they need America, but they do not want to be left holding the bag if it blows up. They leveraged the administration’s need for PR in order to get a deal on some things they should have had already. It was foolish, but the lazy approach to leadership is why the Middle East is a mess.

The question is why are we making all of these deals and commitments around the world to get a deal that is supposed to be so good? Is it because no one really believes it is good outside of the negotiating room? The more we learn, the worse it looks. The side agreements with the United Nations may be even worse than the main agreement. The shame in this is that we flipped the Constitutional process on its head to avoid a treaty and the 2/3 requirement of a vote to approve in the Senate. The saving grace is that now this is not a treaty with the force of law. A new President can fix the mess left by this one if we have the foresight to change direction.

Senator Tom Carper Comments on the Iran Nuclear Deal

Posted by: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

In response to a Midlantic Dispatch inquiry, Delaware U.S. Senator Tom Carper (D) has issued the following statement:

August 4, 2015

Dear Mr. von Baumgart,

Thank you for contacting me about the recent announcement of an international agreement to address Iran’s nuclear weapons program. I appreciate hearing from you on this important issue.

As you know, U.S. relations with Iran have been heavily strained in recent years due to Iran’s growing nuclear program. As a signatory of the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty, Iran is permitted to maintain a peaceful nuclear energy program in exchange for its commitment not to develop a nuclear weapons program and allow periodic inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency – an independent nuclear watchdog organization that reports to the United Nations on the safety and security of international nuclear programs.

In November 2011, the International Atomic Energy Agency reported that Iran’s nuclear programs were increasingly taking on the characteristics of a weapons program. In response, the United States and the European Union imposed targeted economic sanctions to deter Iran’s defiant nuclear program. On June 14, 2013, the Iranian people elected Hassan Rouhani, considered a moderate by many, to be their next president. Shortly after his election, Rouhani led Iran into a new round of negotiations with the P5+1, a collection of countries that include Germany and the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council – the United States, France, the United Kingdom, Russia and China. An interim six month deal – known as the Joint Plan of Action – was brokered on November 24, 2013, and Iran agreed to roll back some parts of its nuclear weapons program in exchange for the easing of certain economic sanctions. The Joint Plan of Action was extended a number of times to accommodate continued negotiations to create a framework and final agreement.

On April 2, 2015, the United States, Iran, and the P5+1 countries agreed on a framework for a nuclear deal. This framework agreement will extend the time it could take Iran to make a nuclear weapon, currently estimated at two to three months, to at least one year. In addition, Iran will reduce its stockpile of low-enriched uranium, limit its capacity to produce enriched uranium by reducing its number of centrifuges by two-thirds, and will not enrich uranium above a certain level for 15 years. Iran will also reduce the number of facilities involved in nuclear activities, modify its heavy-water reactor to a design that could not produce weapons grade plutonium, and ship spent fuel from the reactor outside of the country. The agreement includes many other provisions designed to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon. In order to verify Iran’s compliance with these provisions the International Atomic Energy Agency will have access to all of Iran’s nuclear sites, conducting inspections and overseeing the supply chain of technology and nuclear material. In exchange for Iran’s compliance with this agreement, the United States and the P5+1 will lift sanctions that have crippled the Iranian economy, but with the understanding that should Iran falter in holding up its end of the bargain, the sanctions will snap back into place.

In June, I gave a speech on the floor of the Senate on what I think are essential parts of a nuclear agreement. I encourage you to read my remarks in the Congressional Record at http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/z?r114:S24JN5-0024:/ . Among my requirements for a good deal are blocking Iran’s pathways to a bomb, subjecting Iran to intrusive inspections, and only providing sanctions relief once Iran fulfills its commitments.

After weeks of tough negotiations, on July 14, 2015, the United States, Iran, and the P5+1 countries announced that a final agreement had been reached, and much of the initial framework has been preserved. I want to thank Secretary of State John Kerry, Energy Secretary Ernie Moniz, and the negotiators for their hard work. They deserve to be commended for forging a complicated agreement between the world’s powers and Iran. As my colleagues and I have begun to review this deal, I have been pleased to see that all of my core requirements for a good deal appear to have been addressed. To learn more about this agreement, I encourage you to visit https://www.whitehouse.gov/issues/foreign-policy/iran-deal.

Congress will now spend 60 days, through September 18, examining this agreement, talking with our negotiators, and weighing the benefits of the deal against alternative courses of action. I will be reading the agreement from start to finish, participating in classified briefings, and asking the people who wrote this deal tough questions. During this time, Congress can pass a resolution of approval, disapproval, or take no action. If the President subsequently vetoes a resolution of disapproval, then the Congress would have 10 additional days to override the veto.

While this agreement is an important step toward addressing Iran’s nuclear weapons program, there are certainly many outstanding issues that still need to be addressed with Iran – its support for terror groups like Hamas and Hezbollah, releasing Americans being held in the country, and ensuring that sanctions relief is not used to support its operations in the Middle East. However, addressing Iran’s nuclear weapons ambitions is paramount to these issues, which is why President Obama, Secretary Kerry, and our international allies have worked to reach this agreement. I am reminded of the international agreements negotiated by President Ronald Reagan and President George H.W. Bush with the Soviet Union to limit ballistic missiles and nuclear weapons – surely many other issues existed between our countries at the time, but that does not detract from the importance of making these agreements. Like the agreement currently being reviewed by Congress, President Reagan’s and President Bush’s agreements with the Soviet Union were also based not on trust, but verification.

In closing, like many Americans, I believe we need to focus our efforts on peace talks and diplomatic methods instead of escalating tensions to the point of military conflict. At the end of the day, I believe we must do what is in the best interest of our country, and I am grateful for your input on this matter. Please be assured that I understand your thoughts on this agreement, and I will keep your views in mind.

Thank you for contacting me about this important issue. Please do not hesitate to contact me in the future about this or other issues of importance to you.

With best personal regards, I am,

Sincerely,

Tom Carper

United States Senator

To send another message please visit my website at http://carper.senate.gov/contact and fill out the webform for a prompt response. Thank You.

Why the Iranian Deal Makes Us Less Safe

The World in 2022; Consider this scenario.

The nuclear deal with Iran 7 years ago made us less safe because it lifted the Arms Embargo on Iran two years ago. This allowed Iran to undermine the Arab countries in the Middle East will turn the Middle East into a war zone between radical Sunni extremists and radical Shiite extremists. It enslaved 300 million people across Southern and Eastern Asia and Northern Africa in a radical reign of terror. It will not stay there. They will enflame Africa and Europe. The Americas will see more terrorism the more isolated they become. The West could see the end of its 500 year cycle and our experiment of liberty is under its greatest challenge since Hitler and Stalin aligned in 1939-40. Now Iran has had 7 years to enrich and consolidate its power over a quarter of the world’s oil, it withdrew from the framework. It used the 150 billion dollars freed up by withdrawing the sanctions to buy nukes from cash strapped Pakistan which fell to Iranian funded Taliban radicals as well as fissionable material. It used the research reactor, Fordo, to refine its techniques. It acquired ballistic missiles as now allowed by the agreement and sent up satellites that spy on Israel and its few remaining opponents in the region such as Kurdistan and Saudi Arabia. It mapped out their military and civilian assets.

Iran bought the plans to not only develop the atom bomb but secretly went straight to the neutron bomb after skillful espionage of old French designs. Instead of bombing its opponents traditionally, suicide bombers smuggled tactical neutron bombs into key locations in Western Jerusalem, Tel Aviv, and Riyadh. The support of the Ahrar al Najran movement in 2015 with Iran’s new wealth split the royal kingdom in 2020 and led to the defeat of the Saudi military in Yemen. That defeat toppled a half a dozen moderate Arab states in the region and is now threatening to bring back the Muslim Brotherhood to power in Egypt which has joined with Hamas and taken over The Sinai and threatens the Suez Canal.

Israel has lost Palestine which is under Hamas and is bunkered behind walls and a state of military occupation. Schools are bombed, tourism is down, and fear is rampant. 300,000 Jews have left Israel along with a greater number of Arab Christians who have immigrated to America which passed as the last bastion of a new normalcy in the free world.

Today, Iran announced that it has 10 missiles aimed at Ankara, Riyadh, Tel Aviv, and key bases in each country. It demands that the 3 nations negotiate their surrender by converting to Shiite Islam or paying Jizya tribute. The Labor Prime Minister who succeeded Netanyahu after he was assassinated by agents of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard who masqueraded as Hezbollah, put forth a tribute bill to the Knesset. His government fell and elections are in two weeks. President Hillary Clinton tried to snap back the sanctions but by then Iran and its agents had an economic stranglehold on the economies of Europe and China.

Clinton is in an untenable political situation. She endorsed the Obama deal in 2015 and now the world is coming apart because of it. She barely won reelection and is now the weakest President since James Buchanan. Former Governor Scott Walker, the Republican nominee was killed a week before the 2020 election in a bombing by an IED that looked strangely similar to those developed by Iranian intelligence in the Iraq War. The FBI suspected Iranian involvement but could never prove it. As it zeroed in on the cell, they committed mass suicide rather than be interrogated. They left traps which killed 10 law enforcement agents and 2 firefighters as the abandoned Muslim Community Center burned to the ground. The explosions, which set off dirty bombs, contaminated a city block in suburban Richmond, Virginia. An elementary school had to abandoned. 50 children were sickened and 5 died with others suffering long term. 3 mosques were burned during rioting in Richmond and a dozen others across America. 30 Christian Churches and 12 Jewish Synagogues were burned or bombed in retaliation. President Clinton declared a state of emergency and martial law. She rode the disorganization of the GOP losing its standard barrier and controls on crowds meeting to a narrow reelection. Now she is facing plunging polls and unrest from the militia movement who claims that she stole the election when she required federal marshals to count disputed ballots in Ohio, Virginia, and Florida. She won the narrowest victory since 2000 by 2 electoral votes. With militia on the right and ISIS and Iranian terrorists on the other flank, America seems uneasy and ready to explode. 15 states have called for a Constitutional Convention to allow succession.

Her options are limited. She continued the Obama/Ryan defense budgets. In the words of former Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel, the U. S. was no longer on a war footing, the Navy has only 8 operational carrier groups, the Army is at its smallest level since before World War 2 and eliminated the Ground Combat Vehicle program, and the Air Force eliminated the A-10 and reduced the C-5 Galaxy fleet. Meanwhile the IMF replaced the Dollar with SDR’s backed by gold, and a market basket of currency dominated by the Yuan and the dollar. No longer able to print money with impunity and export its inflation, America’s credit card has been cut off. Interests have soared to 20% after foreigners began to pull 6 trillion dollars from the American economy. The rising interest rates on the 20 trillion dollar federal debt and combined government and private debt which total 65 trillion dollars have sent the nation into a depressionary spiral. Cities rioted when food stamps were cut by 30% and people ran out of food 10 days before the month ended. 10 cities have been under martial law since 2021. While she was preoccupied, she did not snap back the sanctions when Iran made seemingly minor violations of the agreement.

Our New Leader,Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Smiling in Triumph

Our New Leader,Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Smiling in Triumph

While all of this is happening, neutron bombs unleash waves of gamma radiation in Western Jerusalem, Riyadh, and London. Those governments are made inoperable. Pending Israeli elections are on the verge of suspension. Iranian troops take over the land of Mecca 4 days later along with the wealth and oil fields left undamaged and free of hundreds of thousands of infidels who died from the blast which killed people but left infrastructure. The bombs also left the holy sites of Jerusalem undefiled while freeing it of 200,000 Jewish and Christian infidels with as many sickened. Khamenei declared the 50,000 Muslim dead in Jerusalem, who were collateral damage are Shaheed or martyrs because they died Istishhad–in a holy sacrifice to Allah. Turkey, Egypt, France, England, Bosnia, Albania, the stans of the old Soviet Union, and much of Africa, reel from coordinated riots. Governments sued for peace When terror cells in Brussels unveil Red Mercury suitcase Neutron bombs outside of the European parliament. 7 years ago they sat across from Iranian diplomats issuing terms, but now they beg for peace on the Supreme Leader’s terms. Europe is on the verge of agreeing to give 100 Billion Euros a year for the next 10 years as Jizya–tax on the pain of death. Mohammad Javad Zarif, who they once saw as a smiling moderate foreign minister, is now the new Caliph of Córdoba. Senator Rand Paul revived the Jeffersonian rally cry, with a new twist, trillions for defense, but not one cent for Jizya tribute. Millions demonstrate in the streets in defiance of Executive Order 12656 revised in 2019 under the War and Emergency Powers Act but the military refuses to recognize the suspension of the Constitution.

President Barack Obama and his 5 allies did indeed make a legacy agreement with Iran. Unfortunately, the world will curse them for the next 3 generations because 500 years of Western advance has fallen to the Islamic Caliphate and a new Holocaust has been unleashed.

Khamenei Says Iranian Foreign Policy Towards the US Won’t Change

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

Speaking officially earlier on Saturday, Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said that “A landmark nuclear deal with world powers won’t change Iran’s stance toward the arrogant United States government.

While proponents of the recent nuclear accord may speculate that the statement was intended for domestic consumption, opponents will use the comment to strengthen their case.

No word as yet on White House or State Department reaction.

Delaware Congressman John Carney Comments on Iran Nuclear Agreement

Delaware’s sole U.S. Representative, John Carney, has issued the following statement on the nuclear agreement with Iran:

Congressman Carney Statement on Nuclear Agreement with Iran

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Congressman John Carney (D-DE) today released the following statement on the nuclear agreement with Iran:

“I’m pleased to hear that an agreement has been reached — I look forward to studying the details of it with skeptical and clear eyes. The central question is whether we are indeed better off with the deal than without it.

“As I’ve said all along, a good deal must curtail Iran’s pursuit of a nuclear weapons program and put in place a tough regime of inspections that will ensure that Iran is playing by the rules. International inspectors need complete access to Iran’s known nuclear facilities and to other secret facilities that might be used to get around the terms of the agreement.

“I look forward to classified briefings on the specifics of the deal so that I can better assess its merits. I will continue to work with my colleagues in Congress to determine whether this agreement is, in fact, in the best interest of the U.S. and our allies in the region, especially Israel.”

Senator Chris Coons Comments on Iran Nuclear Deal

Posted by: Wolf von Baumgart

Delaware U.S. Senator Chris Coons (D), a member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, has released the following statement regarding the multinational nuclear deal with Iran:

“The United States must not allow Iran to develop a nuclear weapons capability.  A nuclear-armed Iran would threaten our national security, the security of Israel, and the stability of the entire Middle East.

“I will review the details of this agreement promptly, and I will only support it if this deal prevents every Iranian pathway to develop a nuclear weapons capability.  In conversations with senior Administration officials, I have been clear about the specifics of what I want to see from this nuclear agreement.  The inspectors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) must have timely and effective access to military and sensitive facilities in Iran, and be able to fully assess Iran’s past illicit nuclear weapons efforts.  The agreement must include strict limits on advanced centrifuge research and development to prevent a rapid upgrade of Iran’s future capacity to enrich uranium.  Any sanctions relief must be based on Iran first meeting its obligations under this deal.  Finally, the international community must maintain its ability to re-impose sanctions should Iran violate the agreement.

“As Congress plays its rightful role in fully reviewing the specifics of this agreement, I urge the Obama Administration to continue to reach out to Congress to discuss the details of this deal.  Administration officials should participate fully in hearings and classified briefings to ensure members of Congress understand the parameters and consequences of this important agreement.”

Responses to Midlantic Dispatch requests to U.S. Senator Tom Carper’s and Congressman John Carney’s offices for public comments on the Iran nuclear agreement are pending and will be posted in their entirety.

President Will Veto Any Congressional Opposition to Iran Nuclear Proliferation Agreement

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

President Obama has vowed that he will veto any congressional legislation that would run contrary to the nuclear accord reached with Iran. He flatly stated that he was confident that the deal will meet the national security interests of the United States and its allies. He also advised members of Congress to tone down their rhetoric regarding Iran.

Under the terms of the agreement reached earlier Tuesday morning in Vienna between the US, Russia, Germany, China, France, UK and the Islamic Republic of Iran, most UN-imposed economic sanctions against Iran will be lifted under the following terms:

⁰ A 15-year delay on advanced nuclear research and production.

⁰ Lengthening of nuclear device breakout time from 2-3 month to 1 year.

⁰ Elimination of 2/3 of Iranian centrifuges.

⁰ IAEA inspections of Iranian nuclear facilities.

⁰ Prevention of weapons-grade Plutonium production.

⁰ Reduction of Iranian stockpiles of enriched Uranium to 300 Kg with a cap of a 3.67% enrichment level.

⁰ Uranium enrichment to be limited to the existing Natanz facility.

⁰ No enrichment at the Fordow facility.

⁰ No acquisition of heavy water reactors or accumulation of heavy water stockpiles.

⁰ Redesign of the Arak reactor facility and export of spent fuel.

⁰ Re-imposition of UN, US and EU economic sanctions in the event of Iranian violation of the agreement.

The Administration and former Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, claim that the agreement is a victory as it will virtually eliminate the threat of Iranian nuclear weapons production.

Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, called the agreement “a stunning historical mistake” and stated that it is not binding on Israel. “ The world is a much more dangerous place today than it was yesterday”, he said. Isreal has opened a Farsi Twitter account to further communicate its concerns to the Iranian public.

House Majority Leader, John Boehner, stated that the agreement would provoke a nuclear arms race in the Middle East. Former US UN Ambassador, John Bolton, stated that Iran would not keep its word and he alluded to Iranian/North Korean nuclear weapons development cooperation and the possibility of unknown nuclear facilities in the Zagros Mountains that are very difficult to monitor.

Other critics have pointed out that 24 days notice to the Iranian government is effectively required for IAEA inspections of known Iranian nuclear facilities, the influx of money into the Iranian economy will enable expansion of its external operations KUDZ Force (linked to state-sponsored terrorism) and the difficulty of reimposing sanctions.

The UN arms embargo is scheduled to be lifted over a 5-8 year period.

The Administration’s position can be read at https://www.whitehouse.gov/issues/foreign-policy/iran-deal

Secretary of State, John Kerry’s comments are available at: http://www.state.gov/secretary/remarks/2015/07/244885.htmlPresident Will Veto Any Congressional Opposition to Iran Nuclear Proliferation Agreement

The text of the entire agreement is available at: https://www.scribd.com/doc/271540181/Nuclear-Deal-Text

The agreement is subject to congressional approval. Concerned citizens should contact their congressional delegations.

Finnish Defense Minister Attends NATO Brussels Conference

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

Finland’s Minister of Defense, Jussi Niinistö, participated in a major NATO ministerial meeting held in Brussels on Thursday, 25 June 2015. He took an active part in the Resolute Support (RS) discussions, focused on facilitating training and advice for the Afghan security forces and agencies and the future of the operation.

The meeting also discussed the general security situation in Afghanistan and assessed the progress of Resolute Support from an operational perspective. Finland currently has 80 peacekeepers and advisors stationed in Afghanistan.

Putin Announces That Russia Will Add 40 New ICBMs to its Strategic Nuclear Force in 2015

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

Speaking at the Tuesday, June 16 opening of the International Military-Technical Forum ARMY-2015 in the newly-created military-patriotic recreation park in Kubinka, Moscow Region, Russian President Vladimir Putin declared that forty new advanced ICBMs will be added to Russia’s strategic nuclear arsenal in 2015.“This year, our nuclear forces are going to get more than 40 intercontinental ballistic missiles capable of penetrating all existing, even the most advanced missile defenses.”, he said. He further elaborated that “The state would persist in paying specific attention to realization of a massive military rearmament program and modernization of the defense industry”.

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Vladimir Putin opening the IMTF ARMY-2015 Exposition [Photo:RIA Novosti/Alexander Vilf]

This announcement comes in the context of significant Russian weapons systems development including but not limited to: next-generation Yak-130 fighter aircraft, T-14 (Armata) tanks, 40 new navy ships, microwave guns and advanced over-the-horizon radar systems. Putin further claimed that the new strategic missiles were capable of overcoming even the most advanced anti-missile defense systems. The arms buildup comes at a time of increased Russia/NATO tensions over the Ukraine and increasingly expansive Russian naval maneuvers and air force flights in the Baltic area.

According to the official Russian viewpoint, the strategic buildup was made in response to a US move to station troops, armor, missiles, munitions and air assets (including F-22s) in Poland and at least one of Baltic States. Deputy Defense Minister, Anatoly Antonov, was quoted in Russia Today to the effect that the Russian Federation was responding to actions of NATO. “It looks like our colleagues from NATO member states are pushing us into an arms race.” he said.

Independent critics have raised the strategic counterpoint that active encirclement only increases friction and emergent Russian logic for a more aggressive defense posture, by violating the historical international security doctrine of buffer states.

For a comparison of Russian and US Nuclear Forces, see: http://russia-insider.com/en/2015/03/17/4587

Finnish Defense Minister Meets with Swedish and Estonian Counterparts

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

Finland’s Defense Minister, Jussi Niinistö, is currently on his first official visit abroad on Friday June 5, 2015.

He is scheduled to confer with the Swedish Minister of Defense, Peter Hultqvist in Stockholm. Then, it’s on to Tallin for a meeting with Estonian Minister of Defense, Sven Mikser.

In the wake of a recent suspected Russian submarine incursion in Finnish waters near Helsinki and other air and naval incidents in the region, the Ministers will discuss current Baltic Area defense and security issues.

In the broader context, various NATO nations have reported increased aggressiveness, close encounters and diminished safety facors of Russaian Navy manoevres and Air Force flights, potentially affecting maritime and aviation traffic.

Finnish Defense Ministry Pledges Sustainable Development Program

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

The Finnish Defense Ministry has pledged to implement a program of sustainable development in its planning and operations as part of a broader long term national program, documented in “The Finland We Want by 2050”.

“We have pledged to sustainable development with several measures and one is our aim at decreasing energy consumption in the premises by 20 per cent and greenhouse gas emissions by 30 per cent between 2010 and 2020”, said Planning Officer, Sami Heikkilä.

The Defense Ministry program is aimed at reducing environmental damage resulting from training exercises and regular operations, facilities construction, as well as materials, energy and waste management (including increased utilization of renewable energy sources).

Upon further inquiry, it was revealed that the plan currently did not mention hydrokinetics as a possible energy source. However, Finland currently utilizes significant conventional hydroelectric sources in its domestic power production.

The Defmin pledge may be read in its entirety at:

http://www.defmin.fi/file/3159/THE_DEFENCE_ADMINISTRATION_S_COMMITMENT_TO_SUSTAINABLE_DEVELOPMENT.pdf

Information on advanced hydrokinetic turbine generators may be obtained on the uekus.com website or by e-mailing dorickards@aol.com .

Iranian Patrol Boats Fire on Singaporean Tanker in International Waters

by: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

In the third recent incident involving Iranian actions against international shipping this year in the Persian Gulf, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy (IRGCN) patrol boats have fired shots across the bow of the Alpine Eternity (a Singapore registered petrochemical tanker) in international waters.

The Singapore Maritime and Port Authority issued the following statement on 5/14/15:

“With regard to the reported shooting incident on 14 May 2015 (Singapore time), involving a Singapore-registered tanker ‘Alpine Eternity’ that took place in international waters, Singapore is deeply concerned with such actions.”

The (MPA) has requested the Iranian maritime authorities to investigate the incident and prevent future recurrences. The freedom of navigation and free flow of commerce are of critical importance to Singapore and other maritime and trading nations. Such interference with navigational rights is a serious violation of international law.

As to the collision on 22 March 2015 (Singapore time) involving ‘Alpine Eternity’ and an oil platform located in the Persian Gulf, the ship manager, Transpetrol Ship Management Pte. Ltd., had reported the incident to MPA on 23 March 2015. As the Flag Administration of ‘Alpine Eternity’, MPA had immediately commenced a marine safety investigation into the incident in accordance with the International Maritime Organization’s Casualty Investigation Code, and the investigation is still in progress.”

http://www.mpa.gov.sg/sites/global_navigation/news_center/mpa_news/mpa_news_detail.page?filename=nr150518.xm

UAE Coast Guard vessels responded to the Alpine Eternity’s distress signal and the Iranian patrol boats disengaged shortly thereafter. The IRGCN craft inititally fired bow shots after the tanker’s captain refused a demand to alter course for diversion to an Iranian port.

Previous incidents involving Iranian interference with international shipping in or near the Straits of Hormuz have been executed under specific legal pretexts involving disputes over alleged non-payment of docking fees or similar maritime civil disputes; however, a geopolitical dimension is readily apparent as Iran clearly demonstrates its naval capability to impede a key strategic choke point and influence the spot market price of crude oil.

Iranian Naval Force Reaches Bab al-Mandeb

By: Wolf von Baumgart, Staff Writer

According to the Iranian news agency, IRNA, Iranian naval forces of the 34th Fleet have reached the Bab el-Mandeb, a strategic strait and oil traffic choke point between Yemen and Djibouti, Iran’s navy commander said earlier today. The force consists of the frigate, Alborz (F-72) and the light replenishment ship, Bushehr (AORLH-422).

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IRIN Commander Vice Admiral Habibolla Sayyari (IRIN Photo)

Rear Admiral Habibollah Sayyari, stated that the IRIN ships are on an anti-piracy patrol mission. “We are present in the Gulf of Aden in accordance with international regulations to ensure the safety of commercial ships of our country against the threat of pirates,” he said. Iranian merchant shipping has been attacked by Somali pirates in the past. Sayyari also stated that the Iranian Navy has maintained a continuous presence in the Gulf of Aden, Bab el-Mandeb Strait and western India since 2008.

http://irna.ir/en/News/81591243/

IRINS Frigate, Albroz (F-72) FARS Photo

IRINS Frigate, Albroz (F-72) FARS Photo

Last week, Pentagon sources indicated that nine-ship Iranian convoy, suspected of carrying weapons to Houthi insurgents in Yemen had reversed course, but did not indicate the disposition of the Iranian naval vessels.

The 34th Fleet usually rotates anti-piracy operations in the area with the IRIN 33rd Fleet, according to www.arrse.uk

[NOTE: Bab al-Mandeb means “Gate of Tears” in Arabic.]