The results of the referenda in liberal Washington and Maine would suggest so. Marriage is more popular than limiting government spending. Civil Unions bearly squeaked by in WA and Traditional Marriage won in Maine. President Obama is not hesitant to take propose a four fold increase in the deficit, but realizes repealing Don’t Ask Don’t Tell or funding abortion is poison. What is the solution abandon fiscal conservatism? No, Bush tried that with some success, but in the end it bit the party when the bills came home. The best way to win is have a full spectrum coalition as Christie and McDonnell showed. Fiscal Conservatives need their social conservative siblings. The voices that say otherwise happen to be inspired by those who want both to fail.
New JerseyThe day after the elections, Governor Corzine discovered that he needed to cut $400,000,000 from the current budget. I am sure he was not hiding any bad news before the election. Governor Elect Christie and the teacher's union are in a knock down fight already. New York Republicans took back Nassau County with the executive election still pending. They did well in the other suburbs as well. The same trend was true in PA, VA, and NJ which means it is not a limited phenomena. It is truly a trend. VirginiaThe Republican gain was so broad that even in Northern Virginia, several long standing Democrat incumbents were retired. Only one Republican incumbent lost (who was embroiled in a conflict of interest scandal). There is a recount underway, which if the results hold will give Republicans a 7 seat gain. MarylandGovernor Erlich has yet to decide if he will run a rematch. Read more
Nothing it was all local according to CNN. The Republican in me hopes they really believe that. Sure the elections had a local factor, the economy hurts locally all across America. Now let's look at what this means nationally. People are hurting and the Ruling Party is focused on other issues. The stimulus package stimulated mostly governments and Wall Street while foreclosures at a record high and unemployment soars especially when you take into count those who are no longer counted. What is the ruling regime focused on? Increasing government power over health care and energy not empowering the individual to make a better life. The dollar is being weakened. The job front is dismal with experts predicting high unemployment for up to 5 years. There is no long term housing strategy. Money was handed to the banks without buying assets or requiring reworking of troubled loans to Read more
UPDATED: Traditional Marriage is winning in Maine has a 5% or 25K vote plurality with 84% reporting in a heavy turnout (52%). Medical Pot is winning big. Civil Unions are narrowly winning in WA with a lot of Seattle out where it is strong and a lot of Eastern Washington out where it is weak. Hoffman may not have the organization to pull the race out. Had to fight absentee vote already cast. It is an incredible showing for a third party candidate ganged up on by both of the other candidates. He may win still but he is behind by almost 3 points. Fox just projected Owens to win. Definitely a change election, again. PA statewide offices go GOP. Court elections have little money so they are a pure show of party strength. Delaware County was solidly Republican down to town offices and county council. In NYC, the GOP picked up two council seats in Queens, and the Conservative beat Read more
Republicans were more motivated to show up. McDonnell did well in all demos. His margin of victory came from fellow Evangelicals who went for him big--83% of the vote and they were 1/3 of the electorate. Deeds attack on abortion and gay rights backfired. Deeds pulled 10 points less in that group than the President. McDonnell won young voters with 54% and it went up from there. He won 65% of Independent voters and 96% of Republicans. He even pulled 10% of Black voters. That is not unusual in DE or MD, but is double the VA average and triple last year for the party. Here is the ideological breakdown. VA pretty much reflects the national average. McDonnell Deeds Liberal (18%) 9% 91% Moderate (43%) 46% 54% Conservative (39%) 91% 9% White Evangelical/Born-again Christians McDonnell Deeds White Evangelical/Born-again Christians (34%) 83% 17% All others Read more
Corzine concedes and promises smooth transition. AP Calls it for Christie 81% and 5 point lead. UPDATE: Christie lead 6% and 100K with 68% of the vote in. Early lead for Christie, Christie still leads in fact he is increasing his lead back to 5% with 44% out. I like the counties still out. Christie is surprisingly strong in Camden County and Somerset. Christie is winning big in Republican areas by double to triple the vote margins of Forester last governor's race. He is losing Democrat areas in Middlesex and Woodbridge where no Republican tends to win in a dozen years. GOP is winning Democrat House seats and losing none of its own. Still he has Newark and Jersey City to withstand. Updated: 1 down--McDonnell wins big. VA McDonnell leads early--exit polls confirm Republican trend. President Obama factor in votes of 2 out of every 5 voters. Read more
It is sort of a your turn open thread. My predictions–VA GOP sweep McDonnell will get at over 55% of the vote maybe 58%. NJ–Governor elect Christie by 3% minus 1 % fraud. NY-23 Hoffman wins CA- 10 Lt. Gov becomes Congressman, but it is closer than expected. Maine–Marriage wins, Tabor loses but scares the establishment and comes back revised. Wa–Civil unions hit a speed bump with surprising opposition, but eaks a victory. Same sex marriage movement dies in the state slowly. TABOR passes in Washington State because of superior drafting and worse governance. Those are my predictions which are worth as much as it cost you to read them. I would love to see your thoughts or predictions. Thanks. Goldberg had an interesting column today in USA Today.
William Voegelli's "The Golden State isn't worth it"shatters the illusion that high taxes and spending gives us a better government let alone a better lifestyle. He compares the results of two states with similiar demographics, Texas and California. It is one of the best columns ever written making the case why lower taxes combined with a focused, limited, and efficient government gives the best outcome. Please read this one if you do not read anything else today. In America's federal system, some states, such as California, offer residents a "package deal" that bundles numerous and ambitious public benefits with the high taxes needed to pay for them. Other states, such as Texas, offer packages combining modest benefits and low taxes. These alternatives, of course, define the basic argument between liberals and conservatives over what it means to get the size and scope of government Read more
ppppolls For people who want to go to bed: McDonnell 56 Deeds 42, Bolling 54 Wagner 41, Cuccinelli 55 Shannon 39. me: confirms GOP sweep of Virginia UpDate: Generic ballot favors Republicans in the legislature by 9. If these numbers hold for another 36 hours across the board in all 4 state, there will be much celebrating for conservative values.
The legislature foisted same sex marriage on the voters of Maine as part of the 6 for 6 campaign. PPP shows a majority of it’s voters are not enthused and the traditional marriage measure may have majority support. Tabor, the tax and spending limitation, looks a bit in trouble. You got it even before real clear politics and the Drudge Report, provided you don’t sleep before an election like the author.
The latest numbers are out from Democrat polling firm Public Policy Polling and they confirm the Rasmussen trend late last week. Christie is now up by 6. The Daggett voters who were for Christie as a second choice are moving to him as a first. The undecides are almost all breaking for Christie even though 27% of Christie voters do not think he made the case to be governor. He is not Corzine. The headlines recently about Corzine planning to bring back the toll hikes did hurt, and even all the President’s minions can’t put Jon the taxer back together. Virginia tomorrow morning early.
Update: Very good numbers indeed even better than expected for Hoffman. NJ at 11p. Public Policy will release a new poll soon. It looks like Hoffman by 10 after the endorsement. Poll will be released at 10p and New Jersey will be released at 11p.
In a two way contest Hoffman leads Owens by 15 points. So the Dede Scozzafava withdrawal and endorsement will probably tighten the race some but not nearly enough. -58% of Republicans think that Scozzafava’s a liberal and that was obviously before her endorsement today. -The Rush Limbaugh effect- Hoffman has a 79 point lead with Rush listeners while Owens has a 6 point lead with people who don’t listen to the show.
.UPDATE: Politico covers deal to flip Scozzafava from a Republican Lib to a Democrat Lib. It was whispered inDemocrat circles that Dede Scozzafava was going to flip if she got elected. After she suspended, President Obama's team contacted her for an endorsement. She was so easily persuaded by his group that it proved the point of Conservatives that she would be another Democrat vote who would undermine the resolve of the Republican caucus. We are not playing some game. We are in a fight for the soul of America. The ruling regime is remaking America into a social democracy instead of a free enterprise, constitutional republic. Each side believes it is working for a better world. Each side is sincere. Each side believes the other's policies are the bane of a sane America and destroying the country. Fine, but let me know which side is which. When you have a card check, gay marriage supporting, Read more
The first Establishment NY Republican to break ranks and support Hoffman was Gov. Pataki last week at a Conservative Party fundraiser. That broke the back of the Commie Lib Republican Dede Scozzafava. Now he is campaigning with Hoffman. Palin gave conservatives permission to rally behind Hoffman. Pataki is giving moderates permission to do the same. Hoffman by 2. Ironicly, this makes Governor Pataki look better to conservatives than Newt Gingrich. The national implications of this race does not stop. Expect Pataki to take the senate seat which belonged to Clinton next year.
Michael Steele and Newt Gingrich heeded calls to quickly edorse Doug Hoffman. Marjorie Dannenfelser, president of the pro-life Susan B. Anthony List, has issued a statement regarding Ms. Scozzafava's announcement. "Dede Scozzafava’s has worked extremely hard to achieve the goal of becoming the next Congressman from New York's 23rd District. It takes courage and strength to step back and make the best choice for her party, and for the voters of the 23rd District. Time for the GOP to step up.” “This must have been an incredibly difficult decision for Assemblywoman Scozzafava. She did not get into the race to lose. Dede Scozzafava’s courage and strength allowed her to make the choice to let the strongest candidate in her party move forward, and to serve the voters of the 23rd District. “On behalf of conservative voters, activists, and volunteers across the district, I call Read more
New Jersey People in New Jersey are excited about the I-95 world series, but according to Rasmussen polling, 67% are even more engaged with the off year election. 3 candidates have a significant following.Third choice, Chris Daggett, has a 37% approval and 20% of the people considered voting for him. The good news Chris Christie is that the opposition is now starting to focus on getting rid of Corzine. Daggett's numbers are now down to 8% and Christie has a small lead of 3 points which is right at the margin of error. It will come down to turnout. Christie has 7 point lead among those who are determined to vote and has even 28% of those who somewhat approve of President Obama while keeping a vast majority of the 45% who disapprove. Corzine is in trouble because 60% of the state does not think that he deserves reelection and even after 30 million of ads he still has a 54% disapproval. Virginia Read more
Michael Barone gives his 4 races to watch. His views are always worth considering. I do not see the 10th in CA as being one to watch unless it becomes an upset. The district has been reapportioned since a Republican held it in 1996. The 23rd NY is one to watch not because it is a referendum on President Obama, but because it is a referendum on the Republican party of New York.
Martha Coakley was asked about her non-existent foreign policy experience since that is "the number 1 of a U. S. Senator". The premise of the question is wrong, foreign policy is not the number 1 job of a senator. Her answer is interesting. Her sister lives overseas and that gives her foreign policy experience. There is some validity to her answer. She has traveled overseas to see her and been exposed to other cultures. What would be the response if Sarah Palin had said something like that? It does not matter. Martha Coakley is a Democrat. It doesn't matter if she did not know how long she was in office. She can not explain her position on Criminal Records Reform supported by the Governor. In an issue that should be front and center to her job she does not understand the issue. Listen to this entire clip. Can we call her lightweight Martha? Read more
Democrats lost another top tier candidate. Wisconsin Lt. Governor Barb Lawton withdrew from consideration leaving the Democrats without a top tier candidate. The Republicans have two, Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker and former Congressman Mark Neumann. In the battle for Candidate Recruitment most analysts seem to agree that the GOP is finding quality candidates or rather they are coming to them. Real Patriots all across this country are stepping up to the plate to change the direction of this land just like 2006 when real patriots on the left stepped up now we have the same on the right. The GOP is no longer a tired ruling party afraid of its shadow. It is fresh and ready to rumble. Let the games begin.
Here is the latest from Real Clear Politics. Minuteman/Neighborhood (R) 10/25 - 10/26 366 LV 34 29 14 Hoffman +5 CFG/Basswood Research (R) 10/24 - 10/25 300 LV 31 27 20 Hoffman +4 Memo to GOP Do not recruit a commie lib to run for anything. If the RCCC steps back, the conservative will win and we will save the seat. NY has a history of Conservative party candidates winning including Buckley winning the U. S. Senate seat so this is not a wasted vote senario besides when your candidate is third who is stealing votes from whom? Your candidate is worse than the Democrat running and is backed by the radical New York State Teacher's Union, ACORN, Daily KOS types, card check advocates, pro-abortion types, and anti-real marriage types. She is a someone I would never vote to support nor should any Republican worth the name. Now cut bait and stop wasting our money on this race or you will Read more
That is hardly news, but the reasoning is entertaining. The paper admits that he has lost the support of the majority of the people. They admit that he has fallen short. They call him timid about shaking up the corrupt Trenton establishment. They say his victories have been qualified and his successes halting, but he has moved forward. His opponents are not convincing to them. I could make their case a little easier. Corzine is an embarrassing, timid, half-measure pol who is not up to these challenging times. Almost 60 percent of you would vote for the man in the moon before him, but get over it. He is a Democrat. Those other two guys are Republicans. For those who believe insanity is repeating what consistently fails, vote for Christie. He has been a success the past 4 years. He won't be worse than Corzine. He may be leaps and bounds better. The Democrat/media establishment Read more
It’s not often that Delaware gets a mention in the Conservative Bible National Review Online. But with the National mood turning against Obama NRO sees the recent Delaware Special Election results as part of a National Trend. I do think Ruth King was helped by the anti Obama mood in Sussex. How much local races can be interpreted on the National stage I question. But it is nice getting the National Notice. Congrats to all of us who helped in any of the Special Elections of the last couple of years. Everyone needs to give themselves a pat on the back. NRO article here: http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZDk4YmMyOWQzODQ5YjY3N2E2NDVlODZiMjM5NzBhOGI=#
Blanche Lincoln has a 36% approval rating and polls 40 to 39% in a match up against Bruce Cotton who has single digit name recognition in the same poll. I almost wonder if it is time for Mike Huckabee to consider entering that race and dispatching her. His numbers in Arkansas are stratospheric and he would be a lock if he didn't take it for granted. The problem is that he has contract obligations not only with Fox News but ABC radio (replacing Paul Harvey). Still imagine if he used it to tout a shadow agenda. If he offered up alternative bills to each one proposed by the white house. It would electrify the country. He is one of only a few people with the clout to become the instant leader of the opposition. Another one who could would be Mitt Romney. His numbers are still pretty good in Massachusetts though not a lock and there is a special election early next year. I think he should Read more
This time the whole world is paying attention to us with Pittsburgh and the G-20 and NY having its annual United Nations gabfest. I love New York or New Jersey or anywhere that will let me pitch my tent said Col. Qaddafi (dozen spelling variations). It is funny how hugging a terrorist in a hero's welcome makes you unwelcomed in the Mid-Atlantic. New York--This was actually a very good week substantively for NY Governor David Patterson so it figures he spent most of in a tiff with President Obama and overshadowed by leaders around the world. Poor guy even Mayor Rudy Giuliani said he felt for him. He had a major victory where the New York Court of Appeals (their highest court) overturned lower court decisions and validated his Lt. Governor. He called for eliminating the entire 2 billion dollar short fall with spending cuts and no tax or fee increases. We didn't even have new Read more
2429 to 2105-- just say Representative Elect Ruth Briggs King. Congratulations to all of the people who made it happen. I also congratulate Mr. Robinson on a strong race. Most of all I congratulate the voters for a strong turnout for a special election (close to 1/3 of the voters). They saw through the Acorn, Sierra Club, AFL-CIO nonsense and voted based upon the issues. Thanks to the 37th, we are still a two party state. State of Delaware - Election System Unofficial Election Results Statewide Results By Election District 09/12/09 Special Last Updated: 09/12/09 08:43 PM 8 Districts Reported Out of 8 New Castle Abs Reported = N Kent Abs Reported = Read more