*** COMMENTARY ***
By: Wolf von Baumgart
Many who grew up the the 1950s, ’60s and ’70s still remember the quasi-ubiquitous conventional Cold War Domino Theory that if one country fell to Communism, all the rest would successively fall like a stack of dominoes. That mindset was a major factor in US involvement in the Korean War and Vietnam Conflict and its aftermath until the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1990.
The globalist paradigm of trans-national organization, centralization, cultural homogenization and “open borders” emerged in late 1945 at the dawn of the post-WW2 era out of the ashes of excessive nationalism. The political ideologies of imperialism, Bolshevism / Communism, Fascism, National Socialism, terrorism, etc., coupled with abuse of state power on a massive scale, killed over 200 million people in the last Century and gave greater rise to a corporate/bureaucratic worldview with a proportionate loss of individual freedom in democratic countries.
Political ideology and the legalistic/bureaucratic mindset have their obvious and not so obvious limitations , largely at expense of science, economics, ecology, individual sovereignty, creativity, innovation and human dignity. Three analogies apply:
1] The sociopolitical pendulum
2] The cultural rubber band
3] The political extension of Newton’s Third Law of Motion:
For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction.
Despite attempts of special interests to impose their will from the top down for their major benefit, political, economic and social systems ultimately require at least some form of popular support ( or absence of effective resistance) in order to remain intact. Just as even the most well-coordinated battle plans survive first contact with the enemy, the most “elite” comprehensive theoretical trans-national economic and political integration plans rarely survive protracted contact with their respective national realities and limits of tolerance.
In their vote to leave the European Union, the people of the UK have made both an epic and seismic decision to reassert national sovereignty and individual freedom in the face of regionalist collectivism, centralization of power and bureaucratic autarky, despite the fear-mongering of various politicians, foreign and domestic. This is truly a British paradigm shift. The shock was heard throughout the world’s stock, bond, currency and commodities markets as various economic sectors react. The dust has yet to settle and the details of the Brexit will take at least two years to implement. The ultimate fallout and its aftermath have yet to be determined during Britain’s and Europe’s new Sturm und Drang period.
Logically, intuitively and instinctively, many questions arise:
Will Scotland (whose majority voted to stay in the EU) ultimately vote to leave the UK?
Will Wales follow suit?
Will the UK successfully reorient itself towards global markets through a rejuvenated British Commonwealth?
Will other European countries also vote to leave the EU as in NEXIT, FREXIT, DEXIT and maybe even GEXIT?
Will Angela Merkel’s government survive the flood tide of Middle Eastern refugees and the newly negative German bond ratings?
What will be the long-term implications for German politics and emergent domestic and foreign policy?
Will the EU in an attempt to fill the Brexit void, engage in a new “Ostpolitik” to economically court Russia and, by extension, the CIS?
Will the EU, theoretically predicated upon regional integration of intrinsically disparate national economies and societies , ultimate collapse of its own weight in the face of reality?
Will the American People ultimately demand withdrawal from NAFTA, GATT and the WTO, reject the TPP and repudiate MFN for the PRC?
What political effect, if any will the BREXIT have on the 2016 US presidential election and what will be the long-term effect on the US economy?
Despite the chatter from various media talking heads, we really won’t know the full extent until the next decade when a sufficient body of global events and economic statistics have been evaluated. What we do know is that people worldwide are increasingly fed up with incompetent and duplicitous politicians and their pseudo-elite special interest handlers. The establishment is under increasing political and intellectual challenge as a new independent paradigm emerges as the new realpolitik. Clearly, we in the industrial democracies have the power vote them out, but ultimately we must ask if we have the will and wisdom to use it in the greater public interest, as power itself begins in a question.